Texas Supercells Today, A Reward in the Murk?
- Andrew Pritchard
- 3 days ago
- 1 min read
A dynamic upper-level low spinning over the southern Rockies this morning will drift southeast into the Texas South Plains by tonight, setting the stage for scattered severe thunderstorms across much of west and central Texas through this evening.
Moisture is modest but sufficient, with dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s feeding northward into the High Plains and Rolling Plains. Early showers and cloud cover may slow heating, but as the atmosphere destabilizes this afternoon, storms will begin to fire along a weak surface boundary stretching from the Texas Panhandle into central Texas.
Strong southwesterly winds aloft (around 40 to 50 knots) will promote organized storm structures, including supercells capable of large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a couple of tornadoes. As storms merge into clusters or lines later in the evening, the main threat should transition to damaging winds, with activity spreading east toward the I-35 corridor and possibly reaching the coastal plain by early Saturday morning.
Today looks like a messy but potent severe weather day for Texas with a mix of discrete supercells early and fast-moving clusters later. I'd be watching closely from the South Plains to the Hill Country for any breaks in the clouds where instability can maximize and storms can spin. Fort Stockton, TX for a little October supercell fun?
